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Agri-Food Vulnerability IndexResearch snapshot · not a live alert
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Cuba

Follow the food-system dependencies and response capacity behind the score. Explore 2014–2023, one year at a time.

Headline snapshot: all seven indicators weighted equally, averaged across 20 filled-in datasets.

Compare this country
Composite score in 20230.5330–1 · higher is more vulnerable
World rank#14Of 178 countries · rank 1 is most vulnerable
Food-basket import dependency62.9%Calorie-weighted dependency profile

A decade in context

Cuba
0.000.250.500.751.002014201520162017201820192020202120222023Cuba, 2014: 0.440Cuba, 2015: 0.462Cuba, 2016: 0.469Cuba, 2017: 0.449Cuba, 2018: 0.456Cuba, 2019: 0.429Cuba, 2020: 0.493Cuba, 2021: 0.522Cuba, 2022: 0.529Cuba, 2023: 0.533

Higher means more vulnerable. All countries share the same 0–1 scale. Shading shows the range across 20 imputations, not a confidence interval.

View exact chart values
YearCuba
20140.4400.440–0.440
20150.4620.462–0.462
20160.4690.469–0.469
20170.4490.449–0.449
20180.4560.456–0.456
20190.4290.429–0.429
20200.4930.359–0.608
20210.5220.288–0.680
20220.5290.385–0.652
20230.5330.413–0.663

The seven indicators in 2023

Bars use direction-adjusted normalized values: longer always means more vulnerable. Values beside titles retain published units; raw and normalized fields may reflect different imputation stages.

Food import burden

113.0%

Food imports as a percentage of merchandise exports. Source observations are three-year averages; 100% is the scoring saturation threshold.

Production concentration

2,262

Concentration of domestic production by tonnes. Heavy products can dominate this provisional measure.

Climate exposure

0.551

Normalized cereal-yield and population projections. This projection-based component is largely constant over the study window, not annual weather.

Adaptive capacity

0.340

ND-GAIN readiness. Higher is better: stronger capacity to respond to a shock. Darker shading indicates lower readiness.

Behind the import-dependency figure

The score uses bounded dependency values. These additional measures retain the underlying trade picture.

Gross dependency, uncapped
—
Can exceed 100% for processing or re-export hubs.
Net import dependency
—
Imports minus exports, relative to domestic supply; negative for net exporters.
Self-sufficiency ratio
—
Basket-weighted domestic production relative to supply.
Calorie coverage
—
Share of basket calories with usable dependency ratios; standalone IDR ranking requires at least 80%.

Built for open inquiry.

Research context: Raghvendra Singh, TU München, BSc Management & Data Science.

This is academic context, not university endorsement. The research snapshot is presented separately from Verdantia’s current solo-founder company status.

Suggested citation: Mandawewala, S., Singh, R., and Doan, B. See the full source and citation details ↗

Read the research limitations ↗

Source: CEPII, BACI HS12 (V202601). Etalab Open Licence 2.0.

Source: FAO. FAOSTAT (Food Balance Sheets / Food Security), 2026. Licence CC BY 4.0. FAO does not endorse any products or services.

Source: University of Notre Dame, ND-GAIN Country Index, 2026 edition. CC BY 3.0.