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Agri-Food Vulnerability IndexResearch snapshot · not a live alert
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Antigua and Barbuda

Follow the food-system dependencies and response capacity behind the score. Explore 2014–2023, one year at a time.

Headline snapshot: all seven indicators weighted equally, averaged across 20 filled-in datasets.

Compare this country
Composite score in 20230.5740–1 · higher is more vulnerable
World rank#5Of 178 countries · rank 1 is most vulnerable
Food-basket import dependency93.2%Calorie-weighted dependency profile

A decade in context

Antigua and Barbuda
0.000.250.500.751.002014201520162017201820192020202120222023Antigua and Barbuda, 2014: 0.577Antigua and Barbuda, 2015: 0.578Antigua and Barbuda, 2016: 0.577Antigua and Barbuda, 2017: 0.573Antigua and Barbuda, 2018: 0.578Antigua and Barbuda, 2019: 0.560Antigua and Barbuda, 2020: 0.569Antigua and Barbuda, 2021: 0.579Antigua and Barbuda, 2022: 0.578Antigua and Barbuda, 2023: 0.574

Higher means more vulnerable. All countries share the same 0–1 scale. Shading shows the range across 20 imputations, not a confidence interval.

View exact chart values
YearAntigua and Barbuda
20140.5770.569–0.585
20150.5780.560–0.593
20160.5770.572–0.579
20170.5730.573–0.573
20180.5780.578–0.578
20190.5600.560–0.560
20200.5690.568–0.570
20210.5790.579–0.579
20220.5780.578–0.578
20230.5740.574–0.574

The seven indicators in 2023

Bars use direction-adjusted normalized values: longer always means more vulnerable. Values beside titles retain published units; raw and normalized fields may reflect different imputation stages.

Food import burden

659.0%

Food imports as a percentage of merchandise exports. Source observations are three-year averages; 100% is the scoring saturation threshold.

Production concentration

2,734

Concentration of domestic production by tonnes. Heavy products can dominate this provisional measure.

Climate exposure

0.641

Normalized cereal-yield and population projections. This projection-based component is largely constant over the study window, not annual weather.

Adaptive capacity

0.450

ND-GAIN readiness. Higher is better: stronger capacity to respond to a shock. Darker shading indicates lower readiness.

Behind the import-dependency figure

The score uses bounded dependency values. These additional measures retain the underlying trade picture.

Gross dependency, uncapped
93.2%
Can exceed 100% for processing or re-export hubs.
Net import dependency
93.2%
Imports minus exports, relative to domestic supply; negative for net exporters.
Self-sufficiency ratio
6.8%
Basket-weighted domestic production relative to supply.
Calorie coverage
85.9%
Share of basket calories with usable dependency ratios; standalone IDR ranking requires at least 80%.

Built for open inquiry.

Research context: Raghvendra Singh, TU München, BSc Management & Data Science.

This is academic context, not university endorsement. The research snapshot is presented separately from Verdantia’s current solo-founder company status.

Suggested citation: Mandawewala, S., Singh, R., and Doan, B. See the full source and citation details ↗

Read the research limitations ↗

Source: CEPII, BACI HS12 (V202601). Etalab Open Licence 2.0.

Source: FAO. FAOSTAT (Food Balance Sheets / Food Security), 2026. Licence CC BY 4.0. FAO does not endorse any products or services.

Source: University of Notre Dame, ND-GAIN Country Index, 2026 edition. CC BY 3.0.