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Agri-Food Vulnerability IndexResearch snapshot · not a live alert
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Bulgaria

Follow the food-system dependencies and response capacity behind the score. Explore 2014–2023, one year at a time.

Headline snapshot: all seven indicators weighted equally, averaged across 20 filled-in datasets.

Compare this country
Composite score in 20230.3000–1 · higher is more vulnerable
World rank#105Of 178 countries · rank 1 is most vulnerable
Food-basket import dependency66.0%Calorie-weighted dependency profile

A decade in context

Bulgaria
0.000.250.500.751.002014201520162017201820192020202120222023Bulgaria, 2014: 0.255Bulgaria, 2015: 0.256Bulgaria, 2016: 0.261Bulgaria, 2017: 0.261Bulgaria, 2018: 0.263Bulgaria, 2019: 0.269Bulgaria, 2020: 0.273Bulgaria, 2021: 0.275Bulgaria, 2022: 0.288Bulgaria, 2023: 0.300

Higher means more vulnerable. All countries share the same 0–1 scale. Shading shows the range across 20 imputations, not a confidence interval.

View exact chart values
YearBulgaria
20140.2550.255–0.255
20150.2560.256–0.256
20160.2610.261–0.261
20170.2610.261–0.261
20180.2630.263–0.263
20190.2690.269–0.269
20200.2730.273–0.273
20210.2750.275–0.275
20220.2880.288–0.288
20230.3000.300–0.300

The seven indicators in 2023

Bars use direction-adjusted normalized values: longer always means more vulnerable. Values beside titles retain published units; raw and normalized fields may reflect different imputation stages.

Food import burden

11.0%

Food imports as a percentage of merchandise exports. Source observations are three-year averages; 100% is the scoring saturation threshold.

Production concentration

2,236

Concentration of domestic production by tonnes. Heavy products can dominate this provisional measure.

Climate exposure

0.493

Normalized cereal-yield and population projections. This projection-based component is largely constant over the study window, not annual weather.

Adaptive capacity

0.460

ND-GAIN readiness. Higher is better: stronger capacity to respond to a shock. Darker shading indicates lower readiness.

Behind the import-dependency figure

The score uses bounded dependency values. These additional measures retain the underlying trade picture.

Gross dependency, uncapped
92.2%
Can exceed 100% for processing or re-export hubs.
Net import dependency
-263.4%
Imports minus exports, relative to domestic supply; negative for net exporters.
Self-sufficiency ratio
363.4%
Basket-weighted domestic production relative to supply.
Calorie coverage
100.0%
Share of basket calories with usable dependency ratios; standalone IDR ranking requires at least 80%.

Built for open inquiry.

Research context: Raghvendra Singh, TU München, BSc Management & Data Science.

This is academic context, not university endorsement. The research snapshot is presented separately from Verdantia’s current solo-founder company status.

Suggested citation: Mandawewala, S., Singh, R., and Doan, B. See the full source and citation details ↗

Read the research limitations ↗

Source: CEPII, BACI HS12 (V202601). Etalab Open Licence 2.0.

Source: FAO. FAOSTAT (Food Balance Sheets / Food Security), 2026. Licence CC BY 4.0. FAO does not endorse any products or services.

Source: University of Notre Dame, ND-GAIN Country Index, 2026 edition. CC BY 3.0.